2024-08-21 19:55:09
Economy
Business

US Job Growth Revised Down, Prompting Speculation of Fed Rate Cuts

The US economy added 818,000 fewer jobs than initially reported in the year ending in March, signaling a slowdown and prompting speculation of Federal Reserve rate cuts. Monthly job growth is expected to be more muted, while inflation has plummeted.

Revisions show declines in professional/business services and leisure/hospitality jobs. The Labor Department's downward revision suggests a steadily slowing job market, reinforcing the Fed's plan to cut interest rates.

The revision is the largest since 2009 and may be subject to data volatility and noise from immigrant hiring. While the revisions have sparked concerns, some experts argue that the methodology used by the government likely underestimates the contribution of unauthorized immigrants to job growth.

The market's response has been relatively muted, with investors awaiting further guidance from the Fed's minutes and Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium.

Yahoo Finance
21. August 2024 um 10:03

Fed minutes to show depth of debate over a July rate cut

Economy
Finance
Politics
The Fed's July 30-31 meeting minutes will reveal debate over a July rate cut, with some policymakers favoring an earlier start to easing. The FOMC left rates unchanged in the 5.25%-5.50% range but signaled a September cut, with Chair Powell noting some officials considered a July cut. Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari shifted stance, now open to September cuts. The Labor Department's July report of slower payrolls growth and higher unemployment sparked financial market volatility, a key factor...
seekingalpha
21. August 2024 um 12:00

Business Conditions Monthly June 2024

Economy
Finance
Politics
The AIER Business Conditions indicators remained stable in June 2024, with the Leading Indicator at 54, Roughly Coincident Indicator at 83, and Lagging Indicator at 42. Subsequent data pointed to a softening labor market and production declines. However, recent inflation data, including the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index and core inflation, suggest progress in the Federal Reserve's disinflation efforts, potentially providing latitude for rate cuts. Nevertheless, the frequent occu..
CoinDesk
21. August 2024 um 15:00

Bitcoin Gets Brief Boost After U.S. Employment Growth Revised Lower

Finance
Economy
Technology
A government report revised U.S. job growth lower for the 12-months ending in March 2024, leading to a brief, modest 1% bump in bitcoin prices to $60,000, but it quickly reversed and resumed its flat-to-downward price action.
Inc.com
21. August 2024 um 15:39

Fed Minutes Will Describe Rate Cut Debate

Economy
Finance
Politics
The Fed minutes will discuss the debate around interest rate cuts, possibly in September. The document will provide insights on the size and speed of potential rate reductions, as well as changes to the policy statement that opened the door for a cut next month. It will also cover the rise in unemployment and job market softening, as well as comments from Fed officials indicating readiness to consider rate cuts in September. Additionally, the minutes will address the possibility of a rate cut..
CW

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