2024-08-15 17:18:24
Economy
Business

Latest economic data cools recession worries

Recent economic data, including strong retail sales and a decrease in jobless claims, has eased concerns of an impending recession. Retail sales rose 1% in July, surpassing expectations, while initial filings for unemployment insurance fell more than anticipated.

The positive economic indicators have led to a surge in stocks, with the S&P 500 experiencing its best weekly return in nine months. Analysts suggest that the data points to a 'Goldilocks scenario' and a 'soft landing' for the economy.

The rebound in retail sales is attributed to robust spending and broad-based growth. The market sentiment has shifted, with expectations of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.

However, some economists suggest that gradual rate cuts may be more appropriate, highlighting the lack of need for significant economic stimulus. Overall, the latest economic data has provided reassurance and dampened fears of a US economic slowdown.

The Guardian
15. August 2024 um 14:06

UK services sector drives economic growth in the last quarter – business live

Economy
Finance
Politics
The UK economy grew 0.6% in Q2 2024, a slight slowdown from 0.7% in Q1, driven by services, while production and construction contracted. GDP rose 0.9% annually. The economy flatlined in April but grew 0.4% in May, providing an early boost for the Labour government under Rishi Sunak's premiership. The Bank of England's interest rate decisions will be influenced by the strength of the economy and inflation. US retail sales and jobless claims data will also be released.
New York Times - Business
15. August 2024 um 17:57

U.K. Economy Buoyed by Reports on Growth, Inflation and Jobs

Economy
Finance
Politics
The U.K. economy grew 0.6% in Q2 after 0.7% in Q1, led by service sector growth in scientific research, IT, and legal services. Inflation rose slightly to 2.2% while wage growth slowed, and the Bank of England is expected to cut rates this year. The positive data may provide relief to the new Labour government amid anti-immigration riots and struggling public services. However, the Bank forecasts slower growth of 0.4% in Q3 and 0.2% in Q4, and the government warned of "difficult" fiscal decisi..
seekingalpha
15. August 2024 um 05:33

China's retail sales rise more than expected in July, industrial production misses forecast

Economy
Politics
Finance
China's retail sales rose 2.7% YoY in July, exceeding forecasts; industrial output grew 5.1%, slower than expected; new home prices fell 4.9% YoY, marking the steepest decline since 2015; fixed-asset investment grew 3.6% YoY, below forecasts; unemployment rate inched up to 5.2%; Shanghai Composite jumped 1.1% to above 2,880; offshore yuan weakened toward 7.16 per dollar; ETFs: FXI, KWEB, CQQQ, MCHI, ASHR, YINN, TDF, CHIQ, GXC, EWH, KBA, YANG, CXSE, CAF, CWEB, PGJ, KURE; Currency: CNY:USD.
seekingalpha
15. August 2024 um 05:21

Japan’s economy rebounds more than expected in Q2 amid strong growth in private consumption

Economy
Finance
Japan's economy rebounded in Q2, expanding 0.8% Q/Q and 3.1% Y/Y, driven by strong private consumption after wage hikes, supported by the Bank of Japan's interest rate increase. Industrial production declined, but the Nikkei 225 Index rose and the yen was little changed. Japan's unemployment rate unexpectedly fell, producer inflation rose, and manufacturing PMI was revised downward. Inflation rate accelerated, but core inflation was lower than expected. Japan's Q1 GDP shrank more than expected..
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