2024-08-12 19:55:08
Energie
USA
Conflicts

Rising U.S. Crude Oil Prices Amid Tensions in the Middle East

U.S. crude oil prices have surged for a fifth consecutive day, surpassing $77 per barrel. This increase is fueled by concerns over a potential Iranian attack on Israel, prompting the Pentagon to deploy more forces to the Middle East.

Despite a softening consumption in China, U.S. crude oil continues to trade higher. Additionally, OPEC has lowered its global demand growth forecast, citing worries about China's economic slowdown.

The Brent October contract has seen a year-to-date increase of 4.3%, while the RBOB Gasoline September contract has risen by 15%. In contrast, the Natural Gas September contract has experienced an 11% decline.

UBS analysts recommend allocating investments to oil and gold as a means of geopolitical protection. Last week, U.S. crude oil snapped a four-week decline, surging by over 4% as the stock market recovered from previous losses.

The rising tensions in the Middle East have also impacted gas prices, with a decline expected as summer comes to an end. Overall, commodity prices, including gold and oil, are fluctuating due to geopolitical factors, while the gold market awaits a potential rate cut.

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Gas prices peaked in 2022 at $5.016 nationally, $4.695 in Texas, and $6.438 in California. Prices have since declined, with the national average down 23.6 cents from the April 2023 high of $3.679. The EIA forecasts Brent oil prices between $85-$90 per barrel in Q4 2024, which could push gas prices higher, and tensions in the Middle East may also impact prices. Energy stocks have mostly struggled in 2024, with the Energy Select SPDR ETF up just 6.6% compared to the S&P 500's 12.4% gain, and Che..
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U.S. crude oil rises for 5th day, tops $77/barrel, as Pentagon dispatches forces to Middle East amid concerns of Iranian attack on Israel. OPEC lowers global demand growth forecast, but U.S. crude oil trading higher despite softening consumption in China. Brent October contract up 4.3% YTD, RBOB Gasoline September contract up 15% YTD. Natural Gas September contract down 11% YTD; UBS analysts recommend allocations to oil and gold for geopolitical protection. U.S. crude oil snapped 4-week decline,..
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